* Brazilian govt confirms stimulus plans
* Mexican inflation rises more than expected
* Latam stocks lag EM peers
By Ambar Warrick
Feb 9 (Reuters) - Brazil's real led losses across Latin
American currencies on Tuesday on concerns over
lower-than-expected inflation and stretched fiscal spending,
while Chile's peso rose tracking higher copper prices.
The real fell 0.2% as monthly inflation slowed in
January on a sharp fall in electricity prices, which led to some
scaling back of near-term expectations for an interest rate
But the annual rate of inflation remained high and well
above the central bank's year-end target, indicating that a rate
hike at the bank's next meeting was possible.
"The Brazilian central bank recently prepared the markets
for an imminent rate hike. The only question is how quickly such
a step would be taken," analysts at Commerzbank wrote in a note.
"Moreover, the question about additional fiscal policy
measures to support the stricken economy is likely to remain an
issue. Against this background we see little scope for BRL
appreciation for now, even if the central bank were to initiate
a rate hike cycle soon."
Approval of more local stimulus is also expected to increase
inflation and spur rate hikes. President Jair Bolsonaro
confirmed Latin America's largest economy was preparing a fresh
round of cash transfers to millions of vulnerable people.
But investors were concerned that the increased spending
could result in the government breaching its spending cap,
pushing up market-based interest rates and pushing down the
The country had posted a record deficit in 2020 due to the
COVID-19 pandemic, and is struggling to rein in infections.
Brazil stocks were flat, as was MSCI's index of
Latam stocks, as they continued to lag their
emerging market peers this year.
Latam assets had lagged their broader peers in 2020 as well,
owing to relatively higher COVID-19 spreads and concerns over
economic health, given that several regional economies were
facing headwinds even before the outbreak.
Chile's peso rose 0.2%, extending gains to a second
day as copper prices rose on expectations of increased demand
through the release of more global stimulus.
Chilean stocks extended gains to a fourth straight
session, hitting two-week highs.
Mexico's peso edged higher after annual inflation
rose faster than expected in January. The reading raised
expectations that the country's central bank would hold rates at
its meeting later in the week.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
MSCI Emerging Markets 1410.37 0.75
MSCI LatAm 2415.48 0.07
Brazil Bovespa 119666.95 -0.02
Mexico IPC 45017.84 1.86
Chile IPSA 4543.43 1.26
Argentina MerVal 52281.99 0.487
Colombia COLCAP 1381.01 -0.17
Currencies Latest Daily %
Brazil real 5.3828 -0.22
Mexico peso 20.1238 -0.11
Chile peso 734.8 -0.10
Colombia peso 3574.5 -0.15
Peru sol 3.6377 0.08
Argentina peso 88.2600 -0.10
(Reporting by Ambar Warrick in Bengaluru; Editing by Andrea